Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen prediction

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.3/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Home win @ 1.42
• Goals: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.34
• Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.52
• Bet builder: Home win + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.65
• Expected goals: 2.49 – 1.15

Probabilities

• Home win: 66% (fair odds 1.42)
• Draw: 18% (fair odds 5.59)
• Away win: 16% (fair odds 6.88)
• Over 1.5 goals: 89% (fair odds 1.10)
• Over 2.5 goals: 71% (fair odds 1.34)
• Under 2.5 goals: 29% (fair odds 3.40)
• Both teams score: 63% (fair odds 1.52)
• Not both score: 37% (fair odds 2.55)

Match analysis

Our prediction engine shows Dortmund averaging 2.25 goals at home while Werder concede 1.68 away, giving a combined expected total of about 3.3 goals. Bookmaker odds and probabilities place the under 4.5 goal market at a 76% chance, the highest among the options. Both sides have played three days rest, and the engine reports no expected‑goals adjustment, so the match context does not materially shift the outlook. The under 4.5 goal line therefore offers the best balance of probability and value.

• Dortmund home scoring 2.25 per game
• Werder away conceding 1.68 per game
• Both teams rested 3 days
• No expected‑goals adjustment from engine