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Burnley FC vs Charlton Athletic FC prediction

England Championship · Matchday 10 · 13 Oct 2026 19:45 WAT

Burnley FC vs Charlton Athletic FC tips

  • Best tip: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.32, confidence 8.1/10 (76% probability)
  • Match result: Home win
  • Goals: Over 1.5 goals
  • Both teams to score: Both teams score
  • Correct score: 1-1 (13%)
  • Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.15

Probabilities

  • Home win: 45% (fair odds 2.23)
  • Draw: 27% (fair odds 3.65)
  • Away win: 28% (fair odds 3.61)
  • Over 1.5 goals: 76% (fair odds 1.32)
  • Over 2.5 goals: 50% (fair odds 2.00)
  • Under 2.5 goals: 50% (fair odds 2.00)
  • Both teams score: 54% (fair odds 1.84)
  • Not both score: 46% (fair odds 2.19)

Match analysis

The model assigns a 76% chance of over 1.5 goals, the highest probability among candidates, supported by both teams' recent scoring rates (home 1.23, away 0.97 per game) and expected goals (1.52 and 1.15). The combined offensive output suggests at least two goals are likely.

  • Model probability O1.5: 76%
  • Home expected goals: 1.52
  • Away expected goals: 1.15
  • Both teams have scored in recent matches

Burnley FC predictions · Charlton Athletic FC predictions