Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
England Premier League · Matchday 8 · 24 Oct 2026 17:30 WAT · Stamford Bridge · Final score 0–2
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur tips
We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.6/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: lost.
- Match result: Home win @ 1.90
- Goals: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.55
- Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.55
- Bet builder: Both teams score + Over 2.5 goals @ 1.97
- Expected goals: 1.90 – 1.26
Probabilities
- Home win: 52% (fair odds 1.90)
- Draw: 24% (fair odds 4.08)
- Away win: 24% (fair odds 4.01)
- Over 1.5 goals: 83% (fair odds 1.17)
- Over 2.5 goals: 62% (fair odds 1.55)
- Under 2.5 goals: 38% (fair odds 2.55)
- Both teams score: 61% (fair odds 1.55)
- Not both score: 39% (fair odds 2.45)
Match analysis
Afriodds expects 2.18 goals for Chelsea and 1.18 for Tottenham, giving a combined average of 3.36 goals. The model assigns a 74% probability to the match finishing under 4.5 goals, higher than any other candidate. Both teams' recent scoring rates are modest, especially Tottenham’s away average of 0.38 goals per game, supporting a low‑scoring outcome.
- Combined expected goals 3.36
- U4.5 probability 74%
- Tottenham away scoring 0.38 per game
- Chelsea home scoring 3.72 per game but still under 4.5 total likely