Cherno More Varna vs FK Septemvri Sofia prediction

Cherno More Varna vs FK Septemvri Sofia tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.5/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Home win @ 1.69
• Goals: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.38
• Both teams to score: Not both score @ 1.66
• Bet builder: Home or draw + Under 3.5 goals @ 1.61
• Expected goals: 1.59 – 0.83

Probabilities

• Home win: 55% (fair odds 1.69)
• Draw: 26% (fair odds 3.60)
• Away win: 19% (fair odds 5.00)
• Over 1.5 goals: 71% (fair odds 1.38)
• Over 2.5 goals: 44% (fair odds 2.15)
• Under 2.5 goals: 56% (fair odds 1.68)
• Both teams score: 45% (fair odds 2.05)
• Not both score: 55% (fair odds 1.66)

Match analysis

Our prediction engine expects 1.59 goals for Cherno More and 0.83 for Septemvri, giving a combined 2.42 expected goals. The model assigns a 71% probability to over 1.5 goals, and the bookmaker odds (1.38) reflect this confidence. Both teams have low scoring records at home and away, but the combined expected total exceeds the 1.5‑goal threshold. No adjustments from match context change the outlook, so the over remains the most likely outcome.

• Combined expected goals 2.42
• Model probability O1.5 = 71%
• Bookmaker odds 1.38 for O1.5
• No match‑context adjustment