Coritiba vs Grêmio prediction

Coritiba vs Grêmio tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.7/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Home win @ 2.25
• Goals: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.33
• Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.73
• Bet builder: Home or away + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.81
• Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.17

Probabilities

• Home win: 42% (fair odds 2.25)
• Draw: 28% (fair odds 3.33)
• Away win: 29% (fair odds 3.25)
• Over 1.5 goals: 75% (fair odds 1.29)
• Over 2.5 goals: 49% (fair odds 1.92)
• Under 2.5 goals: 51% (fair odds 1.86)
• Both teams score: 54% (fair odds 1.73)
• Not both score: 46% (fair odds 2.05)

Match analysis

Afriodds gives a 73% chance for a home win or draw, the highest among the candidates. The model expects 1.57 goals for Coritiba and 1.11 for Grêmio, indicating a modest scoring game. Both teams have limited rest, but the adjustment is small (+4% for the home side, -4% for the away side) and therefore matters little. Coritiba sit mid‑table with seven games left, while Grêmio are fighting relegation, which slightly favours the home side according to the engine’s adjustments.

• Afriodds probability 73% for 12
• Model expected goals: 1.57 home, 1.11 away
• Small rest adjustment (+4% home, -4% away)
• Home team mid‑table, away team battling drop