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FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais prediction
Switzerland Challenge League · Matchday 11 · 23 Oct 2026 19:15 WAT · Final score 4–0
FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais tips
We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 8.1/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.
- Match result: Home win @ 1.19
- Goals: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.36
- Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.80
- Bet builder: Home win + Over 2.5 goals @ 1.76
- Expected goals: 2.62 – 0.84
Probabilities
- Home win: 75% (fair odds 1.19)
- Draw: 16% (fair odds 5.75)
- Away win: 10% (fair odds 9.50)
- Over 1.5 goals: 87% (fair odds 1.10)
- Over 2.5 goals: 68% (fair odds 1.36)
- Under 2.5 goals: 32% (fair odds 3.00)
- Both teams score: 52% (fair odds 1.80)
- Not both score: 48% (fair odds 1.91)
Match analysis
Afriodds expects a total of 3.48 goals (2.69 + 0.79) and assigns a 73% probability to under 4.5 goals. Both teams have low scoring records, especially the away side with only 0.4 goals per game and a high concession rate. The model probabilities show a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals but only a 46% chance of over 3.5, indicating the most likely total lies between 2 and 4 goals.
- Model expected goals: 2.69 (home) + 0.79 (away)
- Away team scores 0.4 per game, concedes 3.3 per game
- Under 4.5 goals probability 73% (model)
- Home team concedes 0.78 per game