Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro prediction

Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.3/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Home win @ 1.26
• Goals: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.57
• Both teams to score: Not both score @ 1.71
• Bet builder: Home or draw + Under 3.5 goals @ 1.80
• Expected goals: 2.40 – 0.69

Probabilities

• Home win: 75% (fair odds 1.26)
• Draw: 16% (fair odds 6.10)
• Away win: 9% (fair odds 11.00)
• Over 1.5 goals: 82% (fair odds 1.17)
• Over 2.5 goals: 60% (fair odds 1.55)
• Under 2.5 goals: 40% (fair odds 2.40)
• Both teams score: 46% (fair odds 2.05)
• Not both score: 54% (fair odds 1.71)

Match analysis

Our prediction engine gives Flamengo a 71% chance to win, supported by their strong home record (1.92 goals scored and 0.62 conceded per game) and superior league position. Atlético Mineiro scores less than one goal per away game and concedes over 1.2, making a win unlikely. The slight rest disadvantage for Flamengo (+2% expected goals) and both teams chasing top places have minimal impact, so the home win remains the most probable outcome.

• Flamengo home scoring 1.92 per game
• Atlético away scoring 0.99 per game
• Engine expected goals: home +2%, away -3%
• Both sides chasing top places late in season