Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 8.0/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Away win @ 2.62
• Goals: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.48
• Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.60
• Bet builder: Home or away + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.68
• Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.45

Probabilities

• Home win: 36% (fair odds 2.72)
• Draw: 27% (fair odds 3.55)
• Away win: 37% (fair odds 2.62)
• Over 1.5 goals: 80% (fair odds 1.23)
• Over 2.5 goals: 56% (fair odds 1.73)
• Under 2.5 goals: 44% (fair odds 2.15)
• Both teams score: 60% (fair odds 1.60)
• Not both score: 40% (fair odds 2.35)

Match analysis

Afriodds assigns a 77% probability to the home or away outcome, the highest among the candidates. Both teams have similar expected goals (1.86 and 1.79) and a combined over‑2.5 probability of 69%, indicating a likely goal‑rich match where either side can win. The model’s 1X probability is lower at 63%, reinforcing the advantage of the 12 market.

• Model probability for 12 is 77%
• Expected goals: home 1.86, away 1.79
• Over 2.5 goals probability 69%
• 1X probability 63%