Helmond Sport vs Willem II Tilburg prediction

Helmond Sport vs Willem II Tilburg tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.7/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Away win @ 2.05
• Goals: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.54
• Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.49
• Bet builder: Draw or away + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.68
• Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.78

Probabilities

• Home win: 29% (fair odds 3.33)
• Draw: 25% (fair odds 3.75)
• Away win: 46% (fair odds 2.05)
• Over 1.5 goals: 84% (fair odds 1.16)
• Over 2.5 goals: 62% (fair odds 1.54)
• Under 2.5 goals: 38% (fair odds 2.45)
• Both teams score: 63% (fair odds 1.49)
• Not both score: 37% (fair odds 2.50)

Match analysis

Our prediction engine gives the home side a 77% chance to score, the highest among the options. Despite the away team’s higher expected goals (2.01), the home team’s home record shows 1.67 goals per game and the match context only slightly favors the away side with a +2% adjustment, so the home scoring probability remains strong. Bookmaker odds also support a home goal at 3.8, indicating market confidence. Therefore, the home team to score is the most likely outcome with sensible odds.

• Home team scores 1.67 per game at home
• Away expected goals 2.01 but only +2% adjustment
• Small rest difference, minor effect