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Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap prediction

Netherlands Eerste Divisie · Matchday 11 · 19 Oct 2026 19:00 WAT · Final score 2–1

Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 8.7/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

  • Match result: Away win @ 2.20
  • Goals: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.30
  • Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.29
  • Bet builder: Draw or away + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.72
  • Expected goals: 1.78 – 1.95

Probabilities

  • Home win: 35% (fair odds 2.70)
  • Draw: 23% (fair odds 3.90)
  • Away win: 42% (fair odds 2.20)
  • Over 1.5 goals: 90% (fair odds 1.07)
  • Over 2.5 goals: 72% (fair odds 1.30)
  • Under 2.5 goals: 28% (fair odds 3.50)
  • Both teams score: 72% (fair odds 1.29)
  • Not both score: 28% (fair odds 3.50)

Match analysis

Afriodds assigns a 77% probability to either team winning, higher than any other candidate. Both sides have strong expected goals (1.78 and 1.95) and the match is projected to be high‑scoring, reducing the chance of a draw. The model also shows a 65% chance of a draw or away win, but the combined win probability remains the strongest indicator for a 12 bet.

  • Model win probability 77% for 12
  • Expected goals 1.78 (home) and 1.95 (away)
  • High over‑2.5 probability (72%)
  • Draw or away probability only 65%

Jong Ajax predictions · De Graafschap predictions