Lazio vs Parma prediction
Italy Serie A · Matchday 8 · 24 Oct 2026 19:45 WAT · Stadio Olimpico · Final score 2–1
Lazio vs Parma tips
We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.8/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.
- Match result: Home win @ 1.47
- Goals: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.37
- Both teams to score: Not both score @ 1.70
- Bet builder: Home or away + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.60
- Expected goals: 1.96 – 0.72
Probabilities
- Home win: 66% (fair odds 1.47)
- Draw: 21% (fair odds 4.80)
- Away win: 13% (fair odds 7.73)
- Over 1.5 goals: 76% (fair odds 1.29)
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% (fair odds 1.88)
- Under 2.5 goals: 49% (fair odds 1.97)
- Both teams score: 44% (fair odds 2.15)
- Not both score: 56% (fair odds 1.70)
Match analysis
Afriodds gives a 77% probability for the 12 market, matching the highest probability among the candidates. Lazio’s strong home record (2.07 goals scored, 1.02 conceded per game) and Parma’s weak away form (0.33 goals scored, 2.37 conceded) support a result where either side could win, but the model favours a decisive outcome. The confidence score of 8.2 reinforces the strength of this pick.
- Home team scoring 2.07 goals per game
- Away team conceding 2.37 goals per game
- Model probability 77% for 12 market
- High confidence score 8.2