Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediye Spor prediction
Turkey Türkiye Kupası · Matchday 3 · 28 Oct 2026 11:30 WAT · Final score 0–1
Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediye Spor tips
We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.4/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.
- Match result: Home win @ 2.55
- Goals: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.38
- Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.64
- Bet builder: Home or away + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.75
- Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.34
Probabilities
- Home win: 37% (fair odds 2.55)
- Draw: 28% (fair odds 3.40)
- Away win: 35% (fair odds 2.70)
- Over 1.5 goals: 77% (fair odds 1.26)
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% (fair odds 1.82)
- Under 2.5 goals: 48% (fair odds 1.95)
- Both teams score: 56% (fair odds 1.64)
- Not both score: 44% (fair odds 2.10)
Match analysis
Afriodds gives a 72% probability to the home‑away double, the highest among the market options. Both sides have similar expected goals (1.39 vs 1.34) and the model probabilities are close (37% for home win, 35% for away win). The away team has a modest +6% boost from having played more recently, while the home side’s long layoff gives a -6% adjustment, but these effects are small. Bookmaker odds (1.31) reflect the strong confidence in either side winning, making the double the most sensible choice.
- Expected goals nearly equal (1.39 vs 1.34)
- Away team +6% adjustment, home -6% due to rest
- High market probability (72%) for double
- Bookmaker odds 1.31 support the pick
Menemen FK predictions · Karacabey Belediye Spor predictions