Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFC prediction

Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFC tips

• Best tip: Home or away @ 1.36, confidence 7.7/10 (74% probability)
• Match result: Home win
• Goals: Under 3.5 goals
• Both teams to score: Both teams score
• Correct score: 1-1 (12%)
• Expected goals: 1.60 – 1.25

Probabilities

• Home win: 45% (fair odds 2.24)
• Draw: 26% (fair odds 3.79)
• Away win: 29% (fair odds 3.46)
• Over 1.5 goals: 79% (fair odds 1.27)
• Over 2.5 goals: 54% (fair odds 1.84)
• Under 2.5 goals: 46% (fair odds 2.19)
• Both teams score: 58% (fair odds 1.73)
• Not both score: 42% (fair odds 2.38)

Match analysis

Millwall have a home scoring rate of 1.74 per game and are expected to net 1.6 goals, while Swansea's away scoring is 1.39 per game with an expected 1.25 goals. The model gives a 74% probability for a home win or away win (i.e., no draw), reflecting the higher likelihood of a decisive result. Both teams show decent attack, supporting the 12 market.

• Home expected goals 1.6 vs away 1.25
• Model probability for 12 is 74%
• Millwall home scoring 1.74 per game