NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 8.0/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Home win @ 1.67
• Goals: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.40
• Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.44
• Bet builder: Both teams score + Over 2.5 goals @ 1.81
• Expected goals: 2.15 – 1.29

Probabilities

• Home win: 56% (fair odds 1.67)
• Draw: 23% (fair odds 4.20)
• Away win: 21% (fair odds 4.75)
• Over 1.5 goals: 87% (fair odds 1.10)
• Over 2.5 goals: 67% (fair odds 1.40)
• Under 2.5 goals: 33% (fair odds 2.88)
• Both teams score: 65% (fair odds 1.44)
• Not both score: 35% (fair odds 2.63)

Match analysis

Our prediction engine gives a 77% probability that the match will have fewer than 4.5 goals. Expected goals are 1.44 for NEC and 1.82 for Fortuna, totaling 3.26, well below the 4.5 threshold. Both teams’ recent form and scoring rates suggest a moderate scoring environment, supporting the under‑4.5 outcome.

• Model expected total goals 3.26
• U4.5 probability 77% (highest among candidates)
• Away team away scoring 1.97 per game
• Home team conceding 1.98 per game