Roma vs Cagliari prediction
Italy Serie A · Matchday 9 · 27 Oct 2026 20:45 WAT · Stadio Olimpico · Final score 4–2
Roma vs Cagliari tips
We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 8.1/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.
- Match result: Home win @ 1.32
- Goals: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.43
- Both teams to score: Not both score @ 1.60
- Bet builder: Home win + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.63
- Expected goals: 2.21 – 0.61
Probabilities
- Home win: 74% (fair odds 1.32)
- Draw: 17% (fair odds 5.83)
- Away win: 9% (fair odds 11.03)
- Over 1.5 goals: 78% (fair odds 1.25)
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% (fair odds 1.78)
- Under 2.5 goals: 46% (fair odds 2.10)
- Both teams score: 41% (fair odds 2.35)
- Not both score: 59% (fair odds 1.60)
Match analysis
Our prediction engine gives Roma a 70% chance to win, supported by their strong home record of 2.19 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. Cagliari struggle away, scoring less than one goal per match and conceding 1.54. Both teams have three days rest and the league situation is early, so the expected‑goals adjustment is negligible. Bookmaker odds of 1.39 reflect this clear advantage for the home side.
- Roma home scoring 2.19 per game
- Cagliari away scoring 0.94 per game
- Roma concede only 0.6 per game at home
- No expected‑goals adjustment