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Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction
Portugal Liga Portugal Betclic · Matchday 9 · 26 Oct 2026 19:45 WAT · Estadio de São Miguel · Final score 1–2
Santa Clara vs Benfica tips
We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.4/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.
- Match result: Away win @ 1.38
- Goals: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.54
- Both teams to score: Not both score @ 1.88
- Bet builder: Away win + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.67
- Expected goals: 0.80 – 2.24
Probabilities
- Home win: 12% (fair odds 8.23)
- Draw: 18% (fair odds 5.43)
- Away win: 70% (fair odds 1.38)
- Over 1.5 goals: 82% (fair odds 1.20)
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% (fair odds 1.63)
- Under 2.5 goals: 41% (fair odds 2.35)
- Both teams score: 49% (fair odds 1.93)
- Not both score: 51% (fair odds 1.88)
Match analysis
Our prediction engine rates an away win at 70% probability, matching the bookmaker odds of 1.38. Benfica score 2.67 goals per away game while Santa Clara manage only 1.4 at home, giving a clear quality edge. The slight -6% home adjustment and +6% away adjustment are minor, reflecting Benfica's shorter rest but have little impact on the overall expectation. Consequently, the away side's superior attacking record and defensive solidity make a win the most likely outcome.
- Benfica 2.67 away goals per game
- Santa Clara 1.4 home goals per game
- Away win probability 70%
- Rest adjustment small