Shrewsbury Town vs Everton U21 prediction

Shrewsbury Town vs Everton U21 tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 8.0/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Home win @ 1.97
• Goals: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.42
• Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.39
• Bet builder: Home or draw + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.64
• Expected goals: 1.91 – 1.48

Probabilities

• Home win: 47% (fair odds 1.97)
• Draw: 23% (fair odds 4.00)
• Away win: 29% (fair odds 3.20)
• Over 1.5 goals: 86% (fair odds 1.13)
• Over 2.5 goals: 66% (fair odds 1.42)
• Under 2.5 goals: 34% (fair odds 2.80)
• Both teams score: 66% (fair odds 1.39)
• Not both score: 34% (fair odds 2.70)

Match analysis

Afriodds expects 1.91 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.48 for Everton U21, giving a total of 3.39 goals. The model predicts an 74% chance of under 4.5 goals, and the bookmaker odds (3.3) reflect a similar view. The home side has slightly less rest (+6% expected goals) but the adjustment is small, and overall scoring rates suggest a moderate‑scoring game. Therefore the under 4.5 goals market offers the best balance of probability and value.

• Model total expected goals 3.39
• Bookmaker odds 3.3 for U4.5
• Small rest adjustment (+6% home, -6% away)
• High probability 74% for under 4.5