Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax prediction

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.1/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Away win @ 1.48
• Goals: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.37
• Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.51
• Bet builder: Away win + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.68
• Expected goals: 1.17 – 2.45

Probabilities

• Home win: 16% (fair odds 5.95)
• Draw: 18% (fair odds 5.31)
• Away win: 65% (fair odds 1.48)
• Over 1.5 goals: 89% (fair odds 1.11)
• Over 2.5 goals: 71% (fair odds 1.37)
• Under 2.5 goals: 30% (fair odds 3.25)
• Both teams score: 63% (fair odds 1.51)
• Not both score: 37% (fair odds 2.60)

Match analysis

Afriodds gives a 75% probability that Sparta Rotterdam will score, higher than any other candidate. The home team averages 1.66 goals per game and faces an Ajax side that concedes only 0.85 per away game, supporting a strong chance of a home goal. The model also predicts 1.44 expected goals for Sparta, reinforcing the likelihood.

• HS probability 75% (highest among candidates)
• Sparta home scoring rate 1.66 per game
• Ajax away conceding rate 0.85 per game
• Model expected home goals 1.44