Sunderland vs Leeds United prediction

Sunderland vs Leeds United tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 7.5/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Away win @ 2.65
• Goals: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.38
• Both teams to score: Both teams score @ 1.91
• Bet builder: Draw or away + Under 3.5 goals @ 1.91
• Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.23

Probabilities

• Home win: 33% (fair odds 3.00)
• Draw: 30% (fair odds 3.23)
• Away win: 37% (fair odds 2.65)
• Over 1.5 goals: 71% (fair odds 1.38)
• Over 2.5 goals: 44% (fair odds 2.20)
• Under 2.5 goals: 56% (fair odds 1.71)
• Both teams score: 50% (fair odds 1.91)
• Not both score: 50% (fair odds 1.90)

Match analysis

Afriodds gives a 75% chance of over 1.5 goals and both teams have decent scoring rates (home 0.31, away 1.00 per weighted game). The expected goals are 1.42 for Sunderland and 1.27 for Leeds, indicating at least two goals are likely. The model confidence is high at 7.9 out of 10, supporting the over 1.5 market.

• Model probability O1.5: 75%
• Expected goals: Sunderland 1.42, Leeds 1.27
• Away team scoring rate 1.00 per game
• Confidence score 7.9/10