Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians prediction

Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians tips

We give 4 tips for this match (confidence 8.2/10) and you pick the one you want to play. The game counts as won if 1 of the 4 tips comes in. Result: won.

• Match result: Home win @ 1.71
• Goals: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.31
• Both teams to score: Not both score @ 1.82
• Bet builder: Home or draw + Over 1.5 goals @ 1.65
• Expected goals: 1.68 – 0.90

Probabilities

• Home win: 56% (fair odds 1.71)
• Draw: 25% (fair odds 3.75)
• Away win: 19% (fair odds 5.00)
• Over 1.5 goals: 74% (fair odds 1.31)
• Over 2.5 goals: 48% (fair odds 1.96)
• Under 2.5 goals: 52% (fair odds 1.82)
• Both teams score: 49% (fair odds 1.92)
• Not both score: 51% (fair odds 1.82)

Match analysis

Afriodds gives a 56% chance of a home win and a 26% chance of a draw, resulting in a combined 74% probability for either side to win. The home team scores 1.83 goals per game at home while conceding less than one, and the away side struggles to score on the road. Expected goals are 1.71 for Vasco and 0.87 for Corinthians, supporting a likely decisive result.

• Home win probability 56%, draw 26% → 74% for 12
• Vasco home scoring 1.83 per game, conceding 0.92
• Corinthians away scoring 1.15, conceding 1.96
• Model expected goals 1.71 vs 0.87